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Home > Data > Population and Employment Forecasting

Population & Employment Forecasting 

Population and Employment Forecast Update
TRPC has revised the Population and Employment Forecast for Thurston County to take into account the continuing effects of the recession. A new county-wide forecast was adopted on July 13, 2012. Population distributions to small areas such as cities, towns, tribes, school districts, etc. were adopted on Nov. 2, 2012. Employment allocations were adopted on February 1, 2013.

TRPC develops updated population and employment forecasts every three to five years.  These forecasts are used for transportation, sewer, water, land use, school, and other local governmental planning purposes.  They are also used by the private sector for business planning.  TRPC has been preparing these forecasts periodically since the late 1960s.

COUNTY-WIDE POPULATION AND EMPLOYMENT FORECAST

On July 13, 2012 the Thurston Regional Planning Council adopted the County-Wide Population and Employment Forecast.  The new forecast is lower than the 2010 forecast. In addition, the new forecast extends the projections to 2040.  The new forecast remains within the high-to-low range of the OFM Growth Management Projections for Thurston County.

SMALL AREA POPULATION AND DWELLING UNIT DISTRIBUTION

Given the forecast of future population county-wide, it must be decided where the growth will go, based on the adopted plans and policies of the local cities, towns, and the county.  County-wide figures are allocated to the neighborhood level using a large database of developable lands, development trends, and zoning densities.  Only then can planning for needed streets, utilities, school sites, park sites, and other public services and facilities take place. The overall approach is to base the modeling on a great many small assumptions, rather than a few giant leaps of faith. 

The population allocations were adopted by TRPC on July 13, 2012.

JURISDICTION-LEVEL EMPLOYMENT ALLOCATIONS AND FORECAST

The final phase of TRPC's forecast update is the small area employment allocations and forecast. The employment allocations were adopted by TRPC on February 1, 2013. 

For further information on TRPC's Population and Employment Forecast, e-mail
Veena Tabbutt (tabbutv@trpc.org), or call (360) 956-7575.

Downloads

2012 Updated Forecast

2012 Population Allocations (2010 - 2035)

Documentation:

Population Tables:

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Census
Discover data highlights for Thurston County from both the 2000 Decennial Census and American Community Survey questionnaires. Information from the 2010 Census will be released in 2011. 
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Cost of Living
Interested in Cost of Living information for Olympia, Lacey, and Tumwater? Follow the link to compare living costs in a particular place to the average of all participating cities. 
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2424 Heritage Court SW, Suite A, Olympia, Washington 98502 360-956-7575